FanBoardHQ

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern University · 2025 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#87
Efficiency
-11.7
108th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 14
Georgia Southern Fanboard →

Georgia Southern went 7-6 and was ranked 87th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 70th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 125th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 57th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with an 83rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-2
Q3
1-0
Q4
6-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
75th
-3.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
98th
full season
98th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
129th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Fresno StateMountain West#66L 1442-8.10%-27.3Q4
2@ USCBig Ten#17L 2059-32.60%-7.8Q1
3vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#83W 4134+2.7100%-7.3Q4
4vs MaineCoastal AthleticW 4517+15.2100%-7.9Q4
5@ James MadisonSun Belt#22L 1035-24.10%-12.3Q2
7vs Southern MissSun Belt#95L 3538+2.10%-19.4Q4
8vs Georgia StateSun Belt#134W 4124+10.6100%-5.0Q4
9@ Arkansas StateSun Belt#90L 2434-3.00%-18.5Q4
11@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#110W 2523+0.1100%-8.7Q4
12vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#99W 4540+4.9100%-9.7Q4
13vs Old DominionSun Belt#37L 1045-17.40%-36.2Q2
14@ MarshallSun Belt#96W 2419-8.3100%1.4Q3
Postseason
vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#110W 2910+2.9100%5.8Q4

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Georgia Southern, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-33.2-17.1-1.1-27-8-7-8-12-19-5-19-9-10-361Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 83rd
SR 76thYPP 84thEPA 82nd
RushingEff 57th
SR 57thYPP 66thEPA 50th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 126th
SR 130thYPP 122ndEPA 115th
Rush defenseEff 134th
SR 135thYPP 133rdEPA 131st
Dropback rate 50%Tempo +2.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 92nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 49%1st2nd · Offense: 41%2nd · Defense allowed: 51%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 107.0Q1 · Allowed: 114.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 88.0Q2 · Allowed: 104.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 86.0Q3 · Allowed: 114.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 78.0Q4 · Allowed: 69.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledGeorgia SouthernOffenseDefense
Georgia Southern Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 70th
-0.8
Field position: -1.7Finishing drives: +1.0
Field position -1.7Finishing drives +1.0= -0.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 119th · Finishing 56th

Defensive EffRanked 125th
-9.6
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: -9.1
Field position -0.5Finishing drives -9.1= -9.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 85th · Finishing 126th

2.31 points per drive on offense, 2.75 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(219)54% / 46%46%6.3
Q2(250)56% / 44%44%5.4
Q3(186)54% / 46%52%7.6
Q4(222)43% / 57%37%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(191)10.048%7.7
2nd(156)7.840%6.3
3rd(102)7.938%6.2
4th(6)5.033%4.3
All (455)43%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(211)9.644%4.9
2nd(126)7.443%5.7
3rd(75)4.955%4.7
4th(10)1.470%3.4
All (422)46%5.1

Georgia Southern, all games.